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November 28, 2008 ( PowerHomeBiz ) -
Sparks, NV --
It doesn't matter if you are a long-term investor, short-swing trader or day trader you always need buy and sell signals or advantageous spots to enter your position
I have been studying the markets since 1962; I assure you that not all market moves are predictable. For example, markets seldom bottom on what chart readers call a "key reversal". I've lectured on that point for many years.
(news continued below)
Markets have more twists and turns to them than a climb up the Cooke City
Highway in my native state of Montana. Just like that highway, each twist
and turn is a little different than the last one.
Yet, there are similarities in roads as well as markets. There are some
reliable patterns that I discovered over the years that can be of great
value. The purpose of these patterns is to alert us as when to buy or stock
or commodity…when to get in…and sell signals when to take profits or sell
short. Buy and sell signals ideally would call tops and bottoms in the
markets.
Trading Signal Pattern: How to Call Short-Term Explosive Moves in Stocks
and Commodities
Let me introduce to you my "False Break Buy and Sell Pattern."
The idea of the pattern is pretty simple; it works because it is
emotional!
When setting up a buy signal you want to look for a day that closes below
the prior day's low. These days (also known as naked close days) look very
bearish on a chart. They typically act as a continuation of a market
decline. These are the most negative days you can have, not just a close
lower than the prior close but also below the lowest point prices traded at
yesterday.
It is very unusual when this condition is reversed the very next day if
price trades above the high of that down close day. This market pattern
often leads to great market follow through to the upside…just what we are
looking for; a mechanical buy signal.
Just how good you ask?
I did a simple market research test on this pattern in the S&P 500 Stock
Index I will share with you. The buy pattern has occurred 288 times in the
S&P 500 Stock Index futures since 1982 with over 80% them producing an
immediate short term gain. That's impressive.
The exact opposite of this creates a sell signal. This happens when a
market closes greater than the prior day's high, then the very next day
trades below the low of the up close day. I have taught this to many traders
at seminars and written about it in my books for several years.
A New Dimension to the False Break Buy and Sell Trading Signal Pattern
I am surprised investors have not yet noticed this little twist that I am
about to show you. It is simply this -- On the day following the naked down
close we have a naked close in the opposite direction, we typically have
established a reversal point in the market. That's our buy signal and entry
point.
In other words, we have a down close below the prior day's low. Then the
very next day we have an up close that is above the high of the down close
day. This is extremely unusual action and tends to be quite bullish.
The opposite of course will be a bearish situation. This happens when a
market closes greater than the prior day's high and then the very next day
it closes below that same day's low.
Let me next show you how to make this even better because it is even
better to wait for confirmation.
3 Trade Signals That Confirm You Should Be Buying Stocks and Commodities
1) Market closes below prior low 2) Market then closes above the high of
the low close day 3) Market then rallies above the high of the up close day
This can be used to help you spot points to get back into a market in
phase with a longer-term trend. With this condition we get some pretty good
short-term moves in the marketplace. This condition has occurred 152 times
in the S&P 500 Stock Index futures since 1982 with over 86% them producing
an immediate short term gain.
Granted nothing is perfect not even this pattern. But as you can see it
occurs frequently with explosive moves. There are numerous things you can do
to filter out some of the trades such as trend, using accumulation
distribution, seasonal patterns, moving averages or the Commitment of Trader
report. You might also use this trading pattern in combination with other
indicators such as my Williams %R, Stochastics, MACD, or Bollinger Bands.
How to Best Use This Trading Signal Pattern
It is best to use this pattern as an entry to a condition that you think
exists, whether it is bullish or bearish. In other words the strength of the
pattern is the underlying condition or outlook as you see it. While the
pattern alone good; it's even better to use on in conjunction with
fundamentals or market trend.
I think you'll find this is a nice addition to your trading patterns. It
is easy to follow. So, I think you'll be happy that you added it to your
repertoire of trading signal patterns
World-known short-term futures trader Larry Williams has taught thousands
how to make money trading stock futures and commodities, whether the market
is up or down. Now learn how to trade the markets from the only futures
trader in the world to repeatedly trade $1 million of his own money live at
seminars. Get this article with explanatory charts and other free trading
articles at:
http://www.ireallytrade.com/tradingsignalsnew.html
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by Larry Williams
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