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June 3, 2008 ( PowerHomeBiz
) - Australia --
The estimated shortage of 10,000 workers across the ACT could double over the next three years when large numbers of baby boomers retire.
Public service job cutbacks in Tuesday week's Federal budget, tipped to cost Canberra up to 3000 positions, is likely to have little impact on the capital's worsening skills drought.
(news continued below)
Today, The Canberra Times begins a three-part series on the extent of the
ACT skills drought, which is worse here than anywhere else in Australia, and
what could be done to fix it.
ACT Chamber of Commerce chief executive Chris Peters said business growth
in the territory had been stalled for 18 months due to insufficient workers.
"About two years ago staff shortages were No13 on businesses lists of
concerns. It's been No1 for about 18 months, so it is the major impediment
to business growth."
The ACT Skills Commission and the chamber's research shows the ACT will
continue to be hardest hit of all Australian states and territories from a
shortage of skilled and unskilled workers.
Access Economics research shows the ACT's population is biased towards
the 45 to 59 age group.
The demographics report compiled for the Skills Commission says the
retirement timing of this age group and especially those aged 50 to 54 will
have an even greater impact on the ACT workforce than it will nationally.
Access Economics expects increasing labour force participation rates up
to 2010, with a reversal of that trend from 2010 to 2015 and a sharp
reduction in participation after then because the main part of the baby boom
generation will have reached the age of 65.
ACT Skills Commission chairman Derek Volker warns that today's delays
will become tomorrow's disaster when too few people are available to look
after elderly folk.
"It is not a skills problem, it's more a people problem and if we don't
do something about it, it could turn into a crisis not too far down the
track."
Home Help Service ACT, a not-for-profit organisation that provides
in-home support to the elderly and frail aged, could place 20 people
immediately in its stretched ranks of carers.
Canberra employers scouring the country and overseas for employees are
competing with the remainder of the western world which is suffering a
skills drought.
Mr Peters said three factors contributed to the territory's exceptional
worker shortage:
Having both the lowest unemployment (2.4 per cent) and highest
participation rates in Australia, which meant there weren't too many
stay-at-home mothers, or unemployed, to fill job vacancies;
The ACT and Adelaide had Australia's two fastest aging populations; and
Older public servants in a former superannuation scheme had to retire
before 55 to maximise their superannuation benefits.
"Canberra has the highest percentage of public servants than anywhere in
Australia and they retire a decade earlier than the rest of Australia." Mr
Peters said Federal budget cuts in two weeks were expected to cause a net
loss of 1000 people from the Commonwealth Public Service.
At best those leaving would have wide-ranging expertise.
"It depends on what the mix is I expect the mix will be fairly broad,
which would be widely welcomed by the business community, but all of those
won't solve our problem."
Shortages are in all sectors, from engineering, health, trades, services
and construction.
Multinational construction company Bovis Lend Lease said employers were
competing with unprecedented building in the booming Middle East countries,
and project directors could command salaries of up to $300,000.
Hays senior regional director for Canberra Jane Donnelly said financial
controllers and managers on salaries of up to $100,000 and $130,000 were in
demand following the meltdown of global financial markets last year.
"Within the banking sector they are far more aware of the risk associated
with certain products, they are seeking people with extensive risk
analyst-type skills."
Mr Peters said the shortage meant people were finding the service in
places like restaurants, hairdressing salons and workshops slower. "If you
have an accident driving home tonight in your car, typically your car will
sit on the panel beaters shop floor for two weeks until they can get to it.
That's now. In three years time that [timeframe] will double."
- John Thistleton, The Canberra Times
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